Yeahh

Yeuh, UhHuh

Thursday, November 30, 2017

 

The Global Temperature Anomaly Atlantic Cyclone Power Paradox

We put together the Temperature Anomaly and Atlantic Cyclone Power to see if there's an effect on cyclone power.

Well, there's something of a paradox.

The proposed increase in temperature doesn't seem to affect the cyclone power; most notably beginning in 1980.

If there is a temperature increase, there should be a power increase.

Below is the graph of the Temperature Anomaly and Atlantic Cyclone Power.

You can see there is a remarkable change in the Temperature Anomaly, yet, Atlantic Cyclone Power seems to be relatively level.

 

 

From here on, this is just opinion.

What we find interesting is the Temperature Anomaly seems to All-Of-A-Suddenly increase after 1979.

What event happened in 1979? The First World Climate Conference was held in Geneva in February of 1979.

Then again, All-Of-A-Sudden, after 2014, the Temperature Anomaly shot up again.

What event happened around 2014? The Climatic Research Unit email controversy in 2012 and the following years 2013-2014 people noted there was a stall in the Temperature Anomaly.

It seems the Temperature Anomaly works in perfect harmony with petty grasping human ambition.

A paradox seems to be in order.

What we've found in our dealings with paradoxes is one part of a paradox tends to be false; thereby collapsing the paradox altogether.

If the Temperature Anomaly were fudged, it would collapse the paradox.

But, there is that Cyclone Power.

It doesn't seem to be fudged.

Why, we ask our self.

Well, temperatures are easy to manipulate.

There are places on this planet where most people never go; easy to add a degree here and there.

However, cyclones are a problem.

They are seen and felt by vastly more people; a little harder to manipulate when it's raining in your backyard.

You see the event yourself, you see the real power and tell if there's something amiss with the data.

We've detected changes in the cyclone data.

Maybe those changes were for a reason.

We'll let you decide.


Wednesday, November 29, 2017

 

Atlantic Cyclone Power Observational Bias Update

Below are graphs of our calculated values of Atlantic Cyclone Power of each event.

You'll notice there is no Y-axis scale.

That's not a problem, because, all we want to show is relative power between events.

Also, for the same justification that some professionals have used the presentation of data in the anomaly format.

Don't like it, Go Function Yourself.

 

This graph show all the power values with any observational bias due to policy and/or technology.

Just looking at this we can see there are some differences between year ranges.

 

We detected at least 6 different ranges and have highlighted those suspected years.

The differences seem a little more clear.

 

Below, we have changed the Y-axis to a Logarithmic scale, and the range differences become even more clear.

We can adjust for these differences to make the values relatively matched for the changes in policy/technology.

 

Here we can see the graph with these observational bias removed.

Next, we can average these yearly, non-linear values in to a yearly average.

 

Below is the adjusted yearly averages for cyclone power.

We can see around 1947 the power has been fairly level till about 1999, then peaks at 2005 and comes down.

It has risen by looking at the Regression Wave, but next year's average may play a factor in the direction of the Regression Wave.

The next 3 years could be interesting.


Wednesday, November 29, 2017

 

Atlantic Cyclone Power Observational Bias

We have detected at least 6 different date ranges where observational bias may have affected the data due to policy and/or technology changes.

They are as follows:

1851 - 1870
1871 - 1897
1898 - 1966
1967 - 1981
1982 - 1994
1995 - 2017 (current date)

There's nearly a month left in the 2017 Hurricane Season.

We'll be posting an update on the observationally modified power values shortly.


Sunday, November 26, 2017

 

Infowars 34 Hour Coverage - Know Your Enemy: Fake News and The Awakening of America. 2017-11-27 8aCT

 


Friday, November 24, 2017

 

PB & MM History updated

Powerball History

Years

Matrix

Power Play

Price

Jackpot Annuity

Minimum Jackpot

Maximum Jackpot

1992-04-22 to 1997-11-01

5/45 and 1/45

none

$1.00

20 Year

$2,000,000

$111,240,463

1997-11-05 to 2001-03-03

5/49 and 1/42

none

$1.00

25 Year

$10,000,000

$295,700,000

2001-03-07 to 2002-10-05

5/49 and 1/42

BDN x1 - x5

$1.00

25 Year

$10,000,000

$295,000,000

2002-10-09 to 2005-08-27

5/53 and 1/42

BDN x2 - x5

$1.00

30 Year

$10,000,000

$314,900,000

2005-08-31 to 2009-01-03

5/55 and 1/42

BDN x2 - x5

$1.00

30 Year

$15,000,000

$365,000,000

2009-01-07 to 2012-01-14

5/59 and 1/39

CGN x2 - x5

$1.00

30 Year

$20,000,000

$261,600,000

2012-01-18 to 2014-01-18

5/59 and 1/35

none

$2.00

30 Year

$40,000,000

$590,500,000

2014-01-22 to 2015-10-03

5/59 and 1/35

CGN x2 - x5

$2.00

30 Year

$40,000,000

$564,100,000

2015-10-07 to -Present-

5/69 and 1/26

CGN x2 – x5
x10 (JP < $150 M)

$2.00

30 Year

$40,000,000

$1,586,400,000

 

Mega Millions History

Years

Matrix

Megaplier

Price

Jackpot Annuity

Minimum Jackpot

Maximum Jackpot

1996-09-06 to 1999-01-12

5/50 and 1/25

None

$1.00

20 Year

$5,000,000

$77,000,000

1999-01-15 to 2002-05-14

5/50 and 1/36

None

$1.00

20 Year

$5,000,000

$363,000,000

2002-05-17 to 2005-06-21

5/52 and 1/52

None

$1.00

26 Year

$10,000,000

$294,000,000

2005-06-24 to 2013-10-18

5/56 and 1/46

None

$1.00

26 Year

$12,000,000

$656,000,000

2013-10-22 to 2017-10-27

5/75 and 1/15

BDN x2 - x5

$1.00

30 Year

$15,000,000

$636,000,000

2017-10-31 to -present-

5/70 and 1/25

BDN x2 - x5

$2.00

30 Year

$40,000,000

$119,000,000

 

Multiplier Selection Method

BDN - Ball Drawn Number

CGN - Computer Generated Number


Wednesday, November 22, 2017

 

PB & MM History

Not easy to find the years the payouts changed, but we got it.

Powerball History
1992-04-22 to 1997-11-01: 5/45 and 1/45, 20 Year Payout
1997-11-05 to 2002-10-05: 5/49 and 1/42, 25 Year Payout
2002-10-09 to 2005-08-27: 5/53 and 1/42, 30 Year Payout
2005-08-31 to 2009-01-03: 5/55 and 1/42, 30 Year Payout
2009-01-07 to 2012-01-14: 5/59 and 1/39, 30 Year Payout
2012-01-18 to 2015-10-03: 5/59 and 1/35, 30 Year Payout
2015-10-07 to -Present- : 5/69 and 1/26, 30 Year Payout

Mega Millions History
1996-09-06 to 1999-01-12: 5/50 and 1/25, 20 Year Payout
1999-01-15 to 2002-05-14: 5/50 and 1/36, 20 Year Payout
2002-05-17 to 2005-06-21: 5/52 and 1/52, 26 Year Payout
2005-06-24 to 2013-10-18: 5/56 and 1/46, 26 Year Payout
2013-10-22 to 2017-10-27: 5/75 and 1/15, 30 Year Payout
2017-10-31 to -present- : 5/70 and 1/25, 30 Year Payout

partial source www.usamega.com


Monday, November 20, 2017

 

Number Mod 5 Lo Hi Range Even Odd Vtrac

.

 

·

Lo Hi

·

0

1

Mod 5

0

0

5

1

Vtrac

1

1

6

2

2

2

7

3

3

3

8

4

4

4

9

5

 

·

Even Odd

0

1

Range

0

0

1

1

2

3

2

4

5

3

6

7

4

8

9

 

Number

Mod 5

Lo Hi

Range

Even Odd

Vtrac

N

MOD(N,5)

INT(N/5)

INT(N/2)

MOD(N,2)

MOD(N,5)+1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

1

2

2

2

0

1

0

3

3

3

0

1

1

4

4

4

0

2

0

5

5

0

1

2

1

1

6

1

1

3

0

2

7

2

1

3

1

3

8

3

1

4

0

4

9

4

1

4

1

5


Thursday, November 16, 2017

 

yeeaah... the hypocrisy never ends.


Wednesday, November 15, 2017

 

Reverse Make Over.

Make'em look like they really are.

 

 

www.infowars.com

 

The liberal media is losing their minds:

Women are spamming it with one star reviews and calling for it to be banned from Apple and Google’s app stores, though men love it:

This one of Chelsea Clinton got run through a few too many times:

Taylor Swift and the Trumps look great:

The media responded to the app by accusing developer Ashot Gabrelyanov of being a Kremlin agent — no joke.

Gabrelyanov said he’s going to sue Business Insider for lying about him:

 

 

 

 

 

One liberal media writer at Slate tried to stick it to Gabrelyanov by running him through the app:


Sunday, November 12, 2017

 

Ah, Wonderful Sundays, ...

... without the NFL.


Friday, November 10, 2017

 

OH, it's going, down.

We see a massive block of ice slamming down hard.

Hope you're ready for what will seem like the next Ice Age.

Blizzard after Blizzard... ...uhff, just chills to think about it.


Wednesday, November 8, 2017

 

Tweaked the Atlantic ACP

The following chart and table are updated with the most recent data.

It factors in a minor set of temporal variations.

There's less than 2 months left in the 2017 season.

 

Year

Total Power

1850

 

1851

2025.00

1852

2200.69

1853

3265.64

1854

2134.17

1855

2828.13

1856

2194.06

1857

1412.74

1858

2716.24

1859

4091.94

1860

3399.23

1861

3347.76

1862

2260.87

1863

3542.05

1864

1594.23

1865

2531.53

1866

3385.34

1867

3676.21

1868

1999.87

1869

6496.12

1870

5294.26

1871

3152.99

1872

1551.21

1873

1805.02

1874

1819.19

1875

2371.46

1876

1903.15

1877

2180.68

1878

4744.72

1879

2765.77

1880

4224.85

1881

2182.62

1882

2142.38

1883

1856.58

1884

1494.30

1885

2302.53

1886

5040.76

1887

5904.84

1888

3157.17

1889

2396.07

1890

1303.05

1891

3221.02

1892

2574.54

1893

5049.76

1894

3011.88

1895

1641.54

1896

3021.05

1897

1901.12

1898

3346.38

1899

2872.87

1900

1623.03

1901

2552.03

1902

1075.41

1903

3215.04

1904

1124.55

1905

903.79

1906

3134.83

1907

748.11

1908

2611.65

1909

3199.68

1910

1512.46

1911

1160.22

1912

1753.98

1913

1276.52

1914

225.64

1915

2565.98

1916

4536.11

1917

1530.42

1918

1584.75

1919

1611.56

1920

1138.14

1921

2203.89

1922

1216.23

1923

1843.33

1924

2893.64

1925

648.05

1926

4465.34

1927

1888.16

1928

1982.79

1929

1594.03

1930

959.55

1931

2049.91

1932

4441.81

1933

6059.84

1934

2960.85

1935

2667.66

1936

3707.25

1937

2790.82

1938

2541.89

1939

1455.28

1940

2224.13

1941

1662.60

1942

2254.88

1943

3154.21

1944

4143.33

1945

2587.37

1946

1610.27

1947

2939.94

1948

3572.65

1949

3921.71

1950

5751.58

1951

3894.95

1952

2684.61

1953

3904.86

1955

4514.01

1955

5226.62

1956

2515.59

1957

1845.71

1958

3680.02

1959

3286.63

1960

2219.11

1961

4877.39

1962

1027.83

1963

2576.84

1964

3411.76

1965

1566.52

1966

2708.38

1967

3079.54

1968

1731.01

1969

5387.09

1970

2175.29

1971

2586.12

1972

1782.40

1973

2173.97

1974

2739.08

1975

2840.01

1976

2881.69

1977

1864.66

1978

2985.73

1979

2578.80

1980

3912.99

1981

3335.61

1982

1444.57

1983

1090.77

1984

2914.39

1985

3019.68

1986

1573.06

1987

1514.69

1988

3625.18

1989

3536.12

1990

2895.44

1991

1895.45

1992

2268.32

1993

1661.63

1994

1639.91

1995

5287.66

1996

3450.98

1997

1441.81

1998

3870.24

1999

4670.23

2000

3868.62

2001

4067.11

2002

2405.69

2003

4450.77

2004

4756.68

2005

7309.33

2006

1990.65

2007

3992.78

2008

4240.67

2009

1883.13

2010

4886.73

2011

3922.72

2012

3832.13

2013

2003.42

2014

2149.88

2015

1967.93

2016

3880.10

2017

4105.53

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 


Wednesday, November 8, 2017

 

A minor tweak to our last post.

We're making a tweak to the Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Power.

There's not a big difference from the last calculation, just an adjustment related to variations in temporal readings.

Also, it will reflect the latest TS Rina floating out in the North Atlantic.

We'll post a little later.


Friday, November 3, 2017

 

We Developed an Interesting Power Measurement.

We've been looking over the Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy or ACE.

It seems a bit odd the measurement focuses on peak energy.

It's like having your electric bill based only on your peak energy usage.

That's absurd, energy providers wouldn't get much that way.

Is there another way to measure energy usage?

YEP, it is call power, or Watts.

It's the measurement of energy over time, or the amount of work over time, sometimes in units of kg m2 / s3 or J / s.

Funny thing about the ACE is the measurement leaves out the kg or mass and it's measured in kn2.

You can see the their equation at the link above.

OK, well, if that's good for them, it's good for us, we can do that, too.

Instead of using just the max velocity or peak energy of the cyclone, we used a measurement of the entire life of the cyclone and sum up all the power values.

The Accumulated Cyclone Power is measured in kn2 / h, square knots per hour.

Below are the chart and table for our rework.

If we Rank the top 10, it would be the following:

Rank Year Total Power
1 2005 7093.08
2 1887 6066.30
3 1933 6064.71
4 1869 5587.70
5 1969 5562.55
6 1950 5355.69
7 1995 5071.08
8 1961 5049.95
9 1893 4911.55
10 1878 4826.73

 

 

Year

Total Power

1851

1653.26

1852

2285.03

1853

3036.49

1854

2009.72

1855

2397.04

1856

2286.26

1857

1482.39

1858

2301.14

1859

4075.27

1860

3071.85

1861

2907.39

1862

2294.83

1863

3883.53

1864

1536.98

1865

2242.92

1866

3369.80

1867

3248.16

1868

2139.69

1869

5587.70

1870

4722.85

1871

3057.15

1872

1495.05

1873

1714.43

1874

1870.23

1875

2411.52

1876

1907.01

1877

2169.85

1878

4826.73

1879

2723.60

1880

4172.28

1881

2129.05

1882

2129.81

1883

1833.01

1884

1523.68

1885

2299.60

1886

4772.91

1887

6066.30

1888

2834.23

1889

2390.82

1890

1418.27

1891

3282.42

1892

2592.49

1893

4911.55

1894

2929.47

1895

1567.77

1896

2870.51

1897

1723.39

1898

3070.26

1899

2783.58

1900

1621.57

1901

2530.83

1902

1064.89

1903

3122.94

1904

1088.37

1905

914.07

1906

3056.80

1907

715.61

1908

2627.22

1909

3073.81

1910

1544.60

1911

1152.09

1912

1757.48

1913

1239.36

1914

162.38

1915

2492.54

1916

4520.48

1917

1545.78

1918

1634.14

1919

1463.37

1920

1069.14

1921

2235.22

1922

1248.41

1923

1847.34

1924

2900.69

1925

690.57

1926

4438.09

1927

1949.11

1928

1936.83

1929

1563.60

1930

990.57

1931

2129.18

1932

4345.68

1933

6064.71

1934

2875.54

1935

2635.27

1936

3740.81

1937

2891.31

1938

2497.17

1939

1422.16

1940

2245.73

1941

1541.27

1942

2261.08

1943

3296.67

1944

3992.98

1945

2589.07

1946

1455.28

1947

2675.21

1948

3004.94

1949

3842.39

1950

5355.69

1951

3748.01

1952

2698.55

1953

3721.58

1954

3841.01

1955

4606.34

1956

2503.94

1957

1884.04

1958

3573.44

1959

3083.46

1960

1985.90

1961

5049.95

1962

1058.11

1963

2658.02

1964

3509.60

1965

1609.08

1966

2807.53

1967

3240.09

1968

1819.11

1969

5562.55

1970

2285.82

1971

2710.91

1972

1885.73

1973

2303.14

1974

2899.71

1975

3001.26

1976

3034.73

1977

2040.41

1978

3174.37

1979

2683.61

1980

4064.22

1981

3527.04

1982

1529.45

1983

966.42

1984

2999.00

1985

2926.87

1986

1609.36

1987

1539.28

1988

3444.41

1989

3275.95

1990

2867.13

1991

1864.30

1992

2158.79

1993

1637.18

1994

1644.00

1995

5071.08

1996

3453.28

1997

1458.35

1998

3860.98

1999

4502.07

2000

3779.14

2001

3905.31

2002

2201.95

2003

4463.54

2004

4503.44

2005

7093.08

2006

2197.40

2007

3445.29

2008

3881.39

2009

1931.68

2010

4725.81

2011

3862.74

2012

3722.22

2013

2105.23

2014

2132.37

2015

1992.19

2016

3769.14

2017

4097.14


Wednesday, November 1, 2017

 

The Biggest Bank Heist in Modern History.

We see something virtually coming.

Watch for it.

BIG, BIG Event.


Wednesday, November 1, 2017

 

Why is this hidious stock going up?

TWTR

 

We've invested in such a way as to drive it down.

Useless Hypocritical Censoring Monster.


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