...from a high of $45.00 back on May 20.
...I Love It.
Sheldon is Gay!
Ye-aye!
Now some of you might think I hate gays because of how they act.
Noo-noo-no... I can handle gay guys, be friends with 'em... maybe a little more... but I can't stand the female behavior of gay guys.
tippy toe shet... just act like a man when you're around me, OK!!!
Otherwise, Hey!!!
The more the better.
Images from http://www.goes.noaa.gov
...run themselves off a cliff like a lemming first, you mindless programmed fucs.
Don't listen to the Monster Media Machine, telln' ya, don't do it.
Unfiltered
Filtered
Massive Earthquake during or just after the Eclipse.
Something is not right.
To understand why the Linear Regression is suggesting the solar activity is going down, we need to talk about a few other things first.
1 - The Sun is in a relatively constant state of equilibrium.
This means the overall activity tends to even out over time.
Sometimes low, sometimes high, but on an average of zero.
That's what equilibrium dose, it's a zero sum outcome over a period of time within the equilibrium state.
If it's been high for a while, we can expect some low periods to balance things out.
Yes, there will come a time when the activity will go much higher, but that's in the far future near the end of the Sun's existence.
2 - The Linear Regression can only be calculated based on the available data at the time of the calculation.
If we go back to a time before now and calculate the Linear Regression then, based on the available data we have at that time, we will have a different line than we do now.
The line can be expressed as an equation of y = m · x + b, where m is the slope and b is the y - intercept.
The m value determines the slope of the line or how much it tilts.
If it goes up from left to right, the slope is positive.
If it goes down from left to right, the slope is negative.
And if it stays flat from left to right, the slope is zero.
You can see this in the following graph.
Going back the the equilibrium and combining it with the Linear Regression, we should expect the slope of the Linear Regression to strive to a Zero value over successive recalculations of the line.
This means if we take the data at a point in time from then to the beginning and calculate, we'll have the slope of the line for that particular point in time.
Then we move forward and add more data and recalculate, we should have another slope for that point in time, and so on.
Eventually, we can plot the Linear Regression's slope over time and see how the line performs as more data is added.
Below is a graph of the recalculations at each day of the newly added data as it is observed on that day.
The reason the plot starts just after 1860 is because the calculation of the Linear Regression's slope at that point produces very large number with such few data points.
As you can see, the slope actually was in the negative for a time in the late 1800's to early 1900's.
It wasn't until about the 1950's did the slope become positive.
You can also see the plot of the slope is tending back towards zero, which is to be expected for a star in a steady state of equilibrium.
But with that in mind, the only way the slope can go to zero, or even negative is if there is less solar activity on the Sun.
That would drive the slope down and is evident in the plot we see here.
..., however there is a 110y long solar cycle.
These next few months are going to very critical in determining the rest of the short solar cycle 24.
The rest of May, June and July should be very informative on the cycle.
The 110y long cycle in approaching it's minimum which will happen in 2017.
Solar cycle 24 could fall far lower than any current solar prediction given to date.
If it does fall way short, u-uh... things could get very interesting, Winteeerrr wise.
But it's more than just the solar, it's something else we are doing in the sky.
Catastrophic could be a mild word for it.
Hope you're ready.
Jehocifer.
...or two.
Do these Pick 3 numbers appear random?
Can you see any patterns?
4 | 4 | 0 |
2 | 3 | 1 |
2 | 3 | 1 |
5 | 4 | 9 |
1 | 4 | 5 |
4 | 6 | 2 |
0 | 1 | 1 |
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 2 | 1 |
6 | 1 | 7 |
4 | 3 | 7 |
4 | 2 | 2 |
0 | 8 | 8 |
0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | 5 | 2 |
0 | 6 | 6 |
5 | 6 | 1 |
2 | 6 | 8 |
3 | 0 | 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 |
2 | 6 | 8 |
6 | 6 | 0 |
0 | 2 | 2 |
2 | 1 | 1 |
2 | 1 | 1 |
2 | 3 | 5 |
6 | 1 | 7 |
5 | 4 | 1 |
4 | 1 | 5 |
5 | 5 | 0 |
Now on to the inNERDs, actual analysis stuff.
If you've installed the test applications, good.
They are going to be updated with the analysis stuff.
Login at http://www.jadexcode.com to see them.
As Always, membership is Free and useage of the applications is Free.
March 2024 February 2024 January 2024 December 2023 November 2023 August 2023 May 2023 April 2023 March 2023 March 2021 February 2021 January 2021 December 2020 November 2020 October 2020 September 2020 August 2020 July 2020 June 2020 May 2020 April 2020 March 2020 January 2020 December 2019 November 2019 October 2019 September 2019 August 2019 July 2019 June 2019 May 2019 April 2019 March 2019 February 2019 January 2019 December 2018 November 2018 October 2018 September 2018 August 2018 July 2018 June 2018 May 2018 April 2018 March 2018 February 2018 January 2018 December 2017 November 2017 October 2017 September 2017 August 2017 July 2017 June 2017 May 2017 April 2017 March 2017 February 2017 January 2017 December 2016 November 2016 October 2016 September 2016 August 2016 July 2016 June 2016 May 2016 April 2016 March 2016 February 2016 January 2016 December 2015 November 2015 October 2015 September 2015 August 2015 July 2015 June 2015 May 2015 April 2015 March 2015 February 2015 January 2015 December 2014 November 2014 October 2014 September 2014 August 2014 July 2014 June 2014 May 2014 April 2014 March 2014 February 2014 January 2014 December 2013 November 2013 October 2013 September 2013 August 2013 July 2013 June 2013 May 2013 April 2013 March 2013 February 2013 January 2013 December 2012 November 2012 October 2012 September 2012 August 2012 July 2012 June 2012 May 2012 April 2012 March 2012 February 2012 January 2012 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011 March 2011 February 2011 January 2011 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 September 2010 August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 May 2010 April 2010 March 2010 February 2010 January 2010 December 2009 November 2009 October 2009 September 2009 August 2009 July 2009 June 2009 May 2009 April 2009 March 2009 February 2009 January 2009 December 2008 November 2008 October 2008 September 2008 August 2008 July 2008 June 2008 May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 January 2006 November 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004